yes youre right nazi retard boy lets kill off the jews cause evil socialist nutcases like you hate them hey didnt the bible say all the evil nations would be against israel wow thanks for proving it

israel defeated 6 arab armys then 3 then 3 again israel has the finest military in the world and 1 megaton weapons iran cant even make 1 kilaton

More often it reveals great moral weakness — probably fear — which encourages enemies. Worse, it tells our remaining friends that we are useless as allies.

This is exactly the opposite of what the late John Boyd (Colonel, USAF) recommended. He said a grand strategy focused our nation’s actions — political, economic, and military — so as to:

Increase our solidarity, our internal cohesion.
Weaken our opponents’ resolve and internal cohesion.
Strengthen our allies’ relationships to us.
Attract uncommitted states to our cause.
End conflicts on favorable terms, without sowing the seeds for future conflicts.
From Patterns of Conflict, slide 139.

Europe’s crisis is strictly demographic: fertility levels far below replacement. That will be, I suspect, very difficult to reverse. It might even be structural. Modern western culture, esp with respect to women, might inherently result in below-replacement fertility and be — from a long historical perspective — an aberration.

It would be amusing to watch if occuring in another country.

(1) Scots
(2) Jews
(3) Australians

Oh well….. I suppose that is what makes the world so interesting. ;)

The real world is always messy, uncertain and full of compromises. Whenever you try to ‘win it all’ (in war, business, et al) the probability of total success drops dramatically. You can look at this like a Markov chain, where you have to reach the 99% level every time. Trouble is that is only a 1% chance of succces, with a 99% chance of failure. Multiply the chance of success through a few iterations, .01 x .01 x .01 …. 10 iterations and you have only a 1 in 10^-20 chance of success = a lot less than a snowball’s chance in hell.

Ok, lets take a (say) 30% chance of success the first time around. A gambling person (or an idiotic optimist) might try that, then do the same number of iterations = 0.0000059049 (0.00059%) chance of total success. What we are seeing is gambling on a massive scale, on very low odd’s. A sensible person will take a much higher chance of success with a lower payoff, as your chance of winning is much higher.

Conservatism pays.

The neo-crazies (or nut jobs as I call them, NJs for short) continually gamble high stakes on low odds, then wonder why the outcomes are not what they expect! They are fundamentally faith, not reason, based people, which explains their links and empathy to the ‘born again’ crowd.

Back to the Palestinians, they and the Israels are locked into a death spiral at the moment (thanos is dominating). Two peoples with their hands around each others neck, fighting to the death in quicksand. The eventual end of this is predictable. Because Israel, at the moment is superior then, on current trends, extermination (attempted, via ‘transfer’, etc) is the predictable end. At that point Israel will lose the support of 99%+ of every Jew in the world, and that, my friends, is the real end of Israel. Israel can (maybe just by the skin of its teeth) survive the loss of US support, it cannot survive the loss of world wide Jewish support.

Alternatively, it all continues at the same level for decades and the Palestinians become dominant (through demographics) and the same (but in a different way) end of Israel happens. Not through extermination, the Palestinians will never have that power within our lifetimes (despite what some Palestinian NJs may desire), rather people start leaving Israel and it steadily whithers away.

That’s why the forces of life (to use an analogy) must break free of this and BUILD. The Geneva Accord in 2003 showed that a start (at the very least) can be made. It is messy, uncertain, no major wins by anyone, but it has the grace of achievability (bit like life overall).

In the end, the economic gains in a decade will have everyone saying: why didn’t we do this 20 years sooner?